The CIS of Tezanos gives victory to the tripartite of Ximo Puig in Valencia, although the PP would win on 28-M

The CIS places the PP as the force with the most votes in the Valencian Community in the next regional elections on May 28, with a direct vote percentage of 21.8% compared to 20.9% for the PSPV. However, the Botànic could revalidate the Government by staying out of CS and maintaining Unides Podem-EU representation in Les Corts, while Vox would achieve a representation similar to the current one.

Specifically, the PP would obtain between 31 and 36 seats; followed by the PSPV as the second force with between 30 and 34 seats, while in third place would be Compromís, between 15 and 19 seats. Vox would remain as the fourth force with between eight and 12 seats and Unides Podem-EU between two and five deputies. Cs would lose his current representation.

In this way, the sum of the left would achieve between 47 and 58 seats while PP and Vox would obtain between 39 and 48 seats.. The absolute majority in Les Corts Valencianes is 50 deputies. In the X legislature of 2019, the PSPV obtained 27 deputies; the PP, 19; CS, 18 (of which 10 ended up going to the group of Unaffiliated); Commitment, 17; Vox, 10, and Unides Podemos, eight.

However, according to the CIS, the PP would be the first not only in percentage of votes, but also the party that increased the most in support, going from the 18.85% that it obtained in 2019 to the 30.7% that it would achieve this 28-M, which would mean 11.8 more points; while PSPV would become the second most voted party with 29%, 5.13 more than the 23.87% it achieved in the last elections.

Compromís would be the third force with the most votes —after CS disappeared— with 18.5% of the votes, and would gain two points compared to the 16.44% it achieved in the previous elections; while Vox rises to fourth position, one more, with 10.2%, although it remains in voting intention compared to 10.44% in 2019.

For its part, Unides Podem-EU would manage to maintain its presence in the Valencian Parliament by overcoming the barrier of 5% -it obtains 6%-, although it drops almost two points compared to the 7.98% of the last elections. On the contrary, CS plummets and from the third position in 2019 it would not manage to enter the Chamber by registering only 2.1% of the votes.