The municipal pacts have opened an insurmountable gap in the Catalan independence bloc. The president of the Generalitat, Pere Aragonès, appeared this Wednesday in Parliament to explain the changes in his executive after he took advantage of a mini-crisis to change three ministers (the excuse was that the head of Agriculture must resign to go from number 2 in the next elections of 23-J). And what should have been a peaceful day turned into political hell with harsh reproaches from their JxCat rivals.. The two main pro-independence parties threw their heads at each other, accusing each other of betraying the pro-independence movement for agreeing with the socialists and contradicting the calls to create a pro-sovereignty front after the municipal elections..
Despite the fact that in some important city councils an alliance between the PSC and Junts per Catalunya (JxCat) ousted the Republicans, this Tuesday two separate agreements between the PSC and ERC crystallized so that the latter preside over the Tarragona and Lleida councils, despite the fact that JxCat had offered a pact to Esquerra to control both institutions. In Lleida, the post-convergents saw themselves presiding over the institution: they have 10 deputies, compared to 8 from the ERC and 4 from the PSC (then there are 2 from the PP and 1 from ARA Pacte Local, where Junts and the PDeCAT are).. In exchange, they would vote for ERC to preside over Tarragona, where the Republicans have 9 against 8 for Socialists and 8 for Junts (PP and Vox each have one deputy). With the ERC-PSC pact, the Republicans will preside over the two Provincial Councils. The unchecking of ERC has angered JxCat, who did not expect the maneuver. But he has also dynamited the offer of a “democratic front” proposed by Aragonès and that his pro-independence rivals claim they do not know what it consists of..
However, the truth is that both JxCat and ERC are agreeing with the PSC, sometimes secretly and other times, with light and stenographers.. “When your party lost 300,000 votes on March 28, you said that the results had a message addressed to the pro-independence parties. He said verbatim that we have the opportunity to understand each other also in the Town Halls ”, the president of Junts in Parliament, Albert Batet, told Pere Aragonès. He referred directly to the surprise pact between ERC and PSC in the Tarragona and Lleida councils. “How is it understood that while making this solemn announcement to rebuild the unity of the independence movement, at the same moment, ERC negotiates and signs agreements with the PSC in the Tarragona and Lleida councils, agreements that depend on the national leaderships of the parties, when Do you have a formal proposal on the Junts table and in the two councils there is an absolute pro-independence majority?.
An expanded list
“It is understood in the same way that you have governed in the Barcelona Provincial Council for 4 years [JxCat lent their votes to the Socialists to govern in this institution since 21019]… Look, I could take the list out of you and start to reproach us, but no I will. There is clear evidence that we have to understand each other”, the president replied, referring to the list of city councils in which Junts agreed with the Socialists to evict ERC, even in some consistories where the Republicans had clearly won.
The republicans manage a list where there are already twenty towns in which Junts and PSC have already agreed or intend to do so. The Republicans have been able to reverse some agreement that was almost done, like the one with Cervera, but there are important towns where the Republicans have been ousted, such as Roses, Calonge, Calella, El Bruc, Llagostera, La Bisbal d'Empordà or Riba-roja. Possibly they also agree in emblematic squares such as Sitges or Blanes. In municipalities, PSC and ERC pacts are minimal.
Oblivious to this reality of crossed pacts, Junts has guessed a gap in the Government and its parliamentary leader mercilessly harassed Aragonès this Wednesday: “You are not to be trusted. That is why Junts left the Government. They always say one thing and do another here and in Madrid. And you are a protected, unauthorized president (…) The Government is exhausted and your party is desperate. The pact of the Provincial Councils is the authentic agreement of clarity of what their priorities and intentions are “. Later, he warned him that a remodeling of the Government is not worth it, that with 33 deputies a country cannot be governed “and even less with your back to Parliament”. Aragonès shrugged off the avalanche of reproaches as best he could. “I don't know how your party works, but don't try to project the division, the shadows, the public discussions, the corrections of your party's presidency onto mine”.
To troubled river…
As a stone guest, the leader of the PSC, Salvador Illa, attended the crossing of knives. The truth is that the Socialists let themselves be loved and determined a very clear strategy: that in the town halls where things were clear, they would agree with Junts; and in the Provincial Councils it would agree with ERC. “It could be said that it is a Solomonic decision,” ironically a PSC leader. “Agreements in Town Halls depend a lot on local dynamics. But, even so, we had counted on that we would prioritize local agreements with Junts and the Provincial Councils with ERC, because a general agreement with either of those two parties would not be understood. In some localities, very few, the pact is with Esquerra because the pact on the other side does not make sense. But in the Provincial Councils it is very clear how it had to be agreed ”, socialist sources explain to this newspaper.
This strategy has a double objective.. On the one hand, it minimizes a very important issue: ERC cannot be swept away from the institutions because of its results at the polls.. It is true that it fell more than 300,000 votes and went from first to third force in the community, but even so it continues to be a force with enormous social and political weight, since it is a short distance from Junts. “The wings cannot be clipped in all the institutions that until now it controlled”, they reason in the PSC. On the other hand, the alternative support for the two forces has opened a dangerous gap in the sovereign bloc.. The fact that both forces accuse their rivals of agreeing with the Socialists while each of them agrees with the PSC is a symptom of the derangement in which the independence movement currently lives. And, also, that the position of the PSC is a difficult obstacle for sovereignism to overcome.
In this situation, the socialist leader presses, but does not drown. Salvador Illa offered a hand out to Aragonès this Wednesday: “You want to finish the legislature. It is very well, but that is not a question of good intentions or wills. It's a matter of making it viable. In a parliamentary democracy, agreements are required and when there is no support, they are sought (…) I offer predisposition, agree on things that I think are necessary for the country. We continue to be an alternative, but I offer agreements for structural things in the country, which I also believe should be extended to more political formations if we really want to resolve some issues,” he offered the president.. It is an oxygen balloon that will allow the Republicans to face the rest of the term with a certain tranquility. More than half of the legislature has already passed and some sources estimate that the elections will be brought forward three or four months and that they could be held before the end of 2024.. In the time that remains, ERC can get around the legislature even without approving new budgets: it is enough to extend them in 2024. You no longer need to expose yourself to pacts that report criticism in one sense or another.
elections now
The only setback is that Junts will not give you the oxygen that the PSC provides. “In Spain, the PSOE lost 400,000 votes and although it has a parliamentary majority, it called elections. In Catalonia alone, ERC lost more than 300,000 votes and, furthermore, does not have a parliamentary majority. This situation is unprecedented: a minority party is governing that, moreover, was not the most voted in the elections. This is an anomaly and it can only be fixed with elections and then a minimally stable majority can be formed to support the Government that comes out of the polls,” a Junts source told El Confidencial. Batet himself warned Aragonès this Wednesday: “There have been presidents who have proportionally lost fewer votes than you and have made decisions [in reference to Pedro Sánchez]. Do a deep reflection on whether it is worth enduring this agony “.
From ERC it is understood that the agony, with the help of the socialists, is less agony. “The Government is not tied to Junts and that is what hurts them. There has never been a party as disloyal as JxCat ”, says a senior Government official to this newspaper. In Esquerra they talk about the double standards of Junts and that while they proclaim the unity of the independence movement and that they are the most sovereignist of all, they agree with the PSC “to oust ERC, a pro-independence force, from municipalities in which they had won the elections and obtained more votes than anyone. Isn't this having a double standard? Is there a stronger proof of disloyalty than proclaiming independence and, at the same time, preventing an independence party that legitimately won at the polls from governing a city?.