All posts by Luis Moreno

Moreno Luis - is a business and economics reporter based in Barcelona. Prior to joining the BNE24 he was economics editor of the BBC Spaine and worked as an economics and political reporter for Murcia Tuday.

Household income increases, but so does poverty: 9% of families suffer serious material deprivation

The inflation crisis that has swept Europe in the last two years has left Spanish families in a paradoxical situation.. On the one hand, households have seen their income grow from one year to the next like never before in recent history.. Furthermore, the number of families with few members working is at historic lows.. With these wickers, it could seem that we are facing an improvement in the quality of life of homes. However, sharp increases in consumer prices have diluted a good part of those gains.. To the point that the most vulnerable population lived in worse conditions in 2023 than in 2022. Poverty indicators have continued to increase, especially severe material deprivation, which already affects 9% of Spaniards, the highest since 2014.

This is the general image left by the 2023 Living Conditions Survey (ECV) published by the National Institute of Statistics (INE) this Monday. This statistic is one of the most complete that the INE publishes throughout the year and is the reference on matters of income, poverty and material conditions of Spanish families.

Regarding income, the INE highlights that income both per person and per household grew by more than 8% in 2022. Unlike the rest of the indicators included in this statistic, the income data corresponds to the year prior to the survey. The average profit that a Spanish family makes was 34,821 clean euros in 2022. If we look a little more closely, we see that in the case of households made up of two adults without dependent children, the income rises to 35,173 euros on average, while the family made up of two adults with one or more children pocket 42,974 euros net.. The profit of single-person households stood at 19,135 euros.

This reinforcement in household income has not translated into a reduction in poverty levels. On the contrary, the percentage of the population suffering from severe material deprivation increased from 7.7% in 2022 to 9% in 2023 and is at its highest level since 2014.

Severe material deficiency is considered to exist when families cannot afford expenses such as going on vacation for at least one week a year (33% of Spanish households cannot), a meal of meat or fish every two days (6.4% ) or keep the home at an adequate temperature (20.7%). Also indicators of severe deprivation are the inability to meet unforeseen expenses (37% of families cannot afford them) or delays in paying bills or rent (13.6%).

Evolution of average net household income and severe material deprivation. Peter's Henar

In the case of difficulties in maintaining a decent diet, one fact draws special attention.. And 6.9% of those under 18 years of age live in homes that cannot afford enough portions of meat or fish per week, the worst record since 2004.. Extrapolating it to the population, there are around half a million children and adolescents and the highest rate

On a personal level, other important indicators of poverty are the inability to replace damaged clothes with new ones (8.8% of Spaniards suffer from this), the lack of income to eat or drink something at least once a month (9 ,5%); the inability to regularly participate in leisure activities (13.7%) or to spend a small amount of money on oneself (15.8%).

Severe material lack is the most acute form of poverty, but it is not the only one.. If we look at the general image, 26.5% of Spaniards are at risk of poverty or social exclusion, five tenths more than in 2022 and three tenths above 2019. This percentage means that one in four Spaniards lives in a home in which at least one of these three conditions is met: there is a risk of poverty, low intensity of employment or severe material and social lack.

Andalusia and the Canary Islands the hardest hit

If we analyze the distribution of poverty by autonomous community, we can see how Andalusia and the Canary Islands have the highest rates in the country.. In Andalusia, 37.5% of the population is at risk of poverty and social exclusion. Other autonomies such as the Canary Islands (33.8%), Extremadura (32.8%), Castilla-La Mancha (31.7%), Murcia (30.5%) or the Valencian Community (29.6%) are above the national average of 26.5%.

Already at a level below the average are Galicia (25.5%), Asturias (25%), Castilla y León (22.4%), Cantabria (22%), La Rioja (21.8%), Catalonia (21 .2%), Balearic Islands (20.6%), Aragon (20.4%), Madrid (19.4%), Navarra (17.2%) and the Basque Country (15.5%).

The Government qualifies its renewable rage and for the first time will listen to local communities before auctioning offshore wind

For the first time, the Government will take into account the concerns and reservations of local communities or people who are in some way threatened by a renewable energy project before authorizing an auction to award certain companies to exploit a green resource.. The novelty has been reflected in the draft of the royal decree with which the Ministry for the Ecological Transition will regulate offshore wind, to grant generation capacity and define the remuneration system for a technology that does not yet exist in Spain but was designed on last year within the Marine Space Management Plans (POEM), which opened the door to installing wind turbines in a space of up to 5,000 square kilometers along the Spanish coast. This Monday the conditions under which the promoters will be eligible for these parks were known and among them is the novelty that communities and affected people will be consulted first.

The draft of the royal decree establishes a regime of “competitive competition” between promoters who want to access rights to exploit maritime areas where offshore wind generation is permitted, through an auction to be designed by the Ministry and for which “a public-private dialogue in which the sectors affected by marine renewable installations participate”. The objective will be to “complete the definition of the characteristics and requirements that the facilities must meet, as well as the details of the competitive competition procedure, in a way that favors their social acceptance and their integration with other uses of the sea, increasing its positive externalities. and also promoting the industrial development of the affected areas”.

Thus, the corresponding Ministerial Order that regulates offshore wind auctions will determine ordinary aspects such as what power will be awarded, where the wind turbines will be located or the technologies that will be used and may also contemplate the “comments or improvement proposals” that the “interested parties belonging to to the sectors affected by marine renewable installations” can send so that “aspects, parameters or criteria” that “can be redefined or modified.”

The royal decree prepared by the Ministry and which was put out for public consultation this Monday indicates that this participation process will occur “in addition” to the public consultation procedures and allegations already provided for by law and may form part of the design of the auctions of offshore wind. They may make comments about the place where the wind turbines are installed, the power quota, aspects that must be taken into account in design, construction, operation and dismantling or their compatibility with other uses of the sea in the delimited areas, such as fishing.. Also on what weighting criteria the auctions should include in relation to the “socioeconomic impact of the project.”

The Secretary of State may fully or partially incorporate the proposals of the local communities and it will be assessed that they are “concrete, feasible and adequately justified” and then the promoters will be able to make comments on these assessments and requests.

In sea from the origin

This is the first time that the deployment of renewables in Spain takes into account from the very beginning of the procedure what local communities and others affected have to say and the Ecological Transition has started with offshore wind, a technology that will now start from the beginning .

“On land we find everything articulated, but at sea we start from the beginning,” said the third vice president, Teresa Ribera, this Monday during the presentation by the Spanish Network for Sustainable Development (REDS) of a few days of dialogue between promoters, developers and communities that, in one way or another, are part of a development of photovoltaic and wind energy that Ribera has recognized as “taking advantage of the potential” that the sun and wind offer in Spain to generate electricity in a clean way but that also causes rejection. In the case of offshore wind, protests by Galician and Asturian fishermen after the approval of the POEM that located the area where they fish most of the areas where floating wind turbines will be allowed.

“We also have to reflect on what it represents in the territory. Doubts arise about how, where and in what way and how local communities can benefit,” said Ribera, who with regard to the implementation of renewables on dry land in January announced that he would convene promoters, communities and administrations to study how an “orderly deployment” can be done. The initiative, which Ministry sources said would be imminent, seems to be now about to get underway.. Ribera stated this Monday that “in the coming weeks” dialogue groups will begin to be organized that will work over nine sessions. “There are social changes in which information is required and it must be done as best as possible,” said Ribera, who hoped that a debate similar to the one organized by REDS could take place, but “in a more institutionalized way and I hope not more bored”.

Points for impact on the landscape or employment

In the case of offshore wind, the Ministry will set “objective” requirements that promoters must meet to be successful bidders in an auction and must also pass a score based on the degree of compliance with other “non-economic” criteria that will weigh 30%. of the final score and which, again, are closely related to the effects on the closest communities.

According to the draft, they may have to do with what space the wind turbines will occupy, their number or distance from the coast or be related to the environmental impact and the landscape, such as whether they include measures to minimize it or measures to minimize the environmental impact. and landscape.

The projects will also be scored based on their “socioeconomic impact”, the industrial and economic development that may derive from it, their impact on employment and the local, regional, national and community industrial value chain or if they contemplate the participation of SMEs.. They will also be required to dismantle the wind turbines at the end of their useful life.

Also new, the Ministry opens the door for offshore wind auctions to not have a reserve price – the limit that is willing to pay for each MWh – that is not secret as until now, and as the sector demanded.. “In those cases in which the reserve price is not confidential, the order that regulates the competitive bidding procedure may establish mechanisms to guarantee effective competition in said procedure,” says the draft submitted to public auction from this Monday until on March 25, which establishes that there may also be a maximum or “risk” price – this one, confidential -.

The successful bidders of the auctions will have a guarantee of access to the electrical grid to evacuate the electricity generated with offshore wind, but not access and connection to the grid, so they will have to request the concession according to the current procedure.

Farmers block the center of Madrid again and march to the headquarters of the European Commission to demand an improvement in the CAP

The center of Madrid was filled again this Monday with farmers and ranchers. Field professionals clamored once again to demand improvements for their sector, this time with their sights set on the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and the meeting of the Council of Agriculture Ministers of the European Union, held in Brussels.. Called by the three main agricultural organizations -Asaja, COAG and UPA-, the tractors once again blocked the heart of the capital coinciding with the community meeting to make their demands heard not only at the national level, but also in Europe.

While the European ministers arrived in Brussels for the meeting, the streets of Madrid were a prelude to a new massive protest by the agricultural sector.. From early in the morning, dozens of buses full of farmers arrived near the Atocha station from all over Spain.. “We left at 4:00 in the morning, we stopped to have a snack and here we came to demonstrate about the situation in the fields,” José María, a farmer who arrived from Murcia, explained to 20minutos.. “Farmhouse products are currently being sold for a price lower than the cost of production and that cannot be sustained. We farmers do not want to live on aid, we want you to defend our products,” he asked, with his sights set on the Brussels meeting.

“I don't know what I expect from today's meeting.. We have almost lost hope. I had a family farm and we had to close it, because we couldn't handle the losses,” said Ángeles, who arrived from Yecla (Murcia). Equipped with banners and flags, the groups of protesters little by little took over the surroundings of the Ministry of Agriculture, located next to the Plaza del Emperor Carlos V, waiting for the arrival of the tractors. “Without generational change, the countryside disappears”, “The countryside demands support, respect and recognition”, “Closed due to ruin, without a field there is no life “, “Our end will be your hunger,” read the banners.

The countryside has been protesting for weeks to demand fair prices, imports under the same production conditions that prevail in Europe and a simplification of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). “Either bureaucratization as great as there is is removed or it is impossible to comply,” denounced at the beginning of the protest the general secretary of COAG, Miguel Padilla.. “It is not possible that Europe does not understand that we have to play under the same conditions, producers from the European Union and products that come from outside,” he added.

“It cannot be that the Common Agricultural Policy, which was created precisely to guarantee food for EU citizens at affordable prices, is what is expelling farmers and ranchers in the world,” explained the Secretary General of UPA, Lorenzo Ramos. “This Common Agricultural Policy leads to ruin for the agricultural sector,” said the president of Asaja, Pedro Barato, along the same lines, pointing out that the countryside is suffering a “silent dismantling with the support of the governments of Europe.”

Despite the delay compared to the scheduled time, the organization encouraged the thousands of attendees – 5,000 according to the Government Delegation and 20,000 according to Asaja, COAGy UPA – to wait for the tractors to begin the march towards the headquarters of the European Commission in Madrid. located at number 46 Paseo de la Castellana. The noise of the engines began to be heard at noon, when the hundred vehicles leaving at 9:00 a.m. from the Arganda bridge began to parade in front of the Ministry of Agriculture to begin the tour along the Paseo del Prado.

Barely half an hour after the head of the march began, fifty protesters deviated from the itinerary to protest in front of the Ministry of Health, agitated against the logo of the 2030 Agenda that appears on the façade of the institution.. This fork in the protest cut off the Paseo del Prado in the south direction, where vehicles were still circulating up to that point, and forced the riot police of the National Police to intervene, who formed a cordon to prevent the advance of the protesters and force them to retreat. towards the main march.

The protest reached the Prado Museum. Jorge Paris

The episode of tension did not interrupt the progress of the protest, which on its original itinerary continued without incident, encouraged by the applause of passersby.. To the rhythm of whistles, cowbells, drums and tractor horns, thousands of farmers traveled the more than three kilometers that separate Atocha from the headquarters of the European Commission in Madrid. Along with farmers and ranchers, representatives of the fishing sector also marched, distributing more than a thousand squid sandwiches to the attendees during the tour as a nod to the emblem of Madrid's gastronomy.

Once the final destination was reached, around thirty protesters outside the organizing organizations burned two straw dolls in front of the European headquarters with the faces of the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, and the Minister of Agriculture, Luis Planas.. That same group of people had already tried to break up the protest at the beginning, forming a header in front of the official one, which caused confusion among those attending.. A few meters from the bonfire, the representatives of Asaja, COAG and UPA asked to avoid noise and not fall into “provocations.”

Those responsible for the organizing organizations also demanded “concretion” in the measures to alleviate the situation in the countryside and recalled that the solution does not come only through Agriculture, but that they must also take action on the matter from the Ministry of Ecological Transition and from Labor.. After making their demands heard in front of the European Commission headquarters, the protest gradually dissolved in the early hours of the afternoon.. Córdoba will take over from Madrid this Tuesday. Asaja, COAG and UPA have called for a protest event in Lucena that will cut the highway to Malaga. Unió de Pagesos also organizes a tractor rally in the province of Girona.

The autonomies refuse to take on the deficient bus routes alone while Puente finalizes a new concessions map

The Ministry of Transport has already begun technical work to update the map of concessions for interurban bus lines, to renew the proposal that former minister Raquel Sánchez presented in the last legislature and which was opposed by a good part of the regional governments.. This Monday, those of Castilla-La Mancha, Castilla y León and the Valencian Community have reiterated their opposition to the autonomies having to take over the deficient routes, even if it is in exchange for economic compensation, in the Ministry's new attempt to update and redistribute the routes.

The bus company employers' association, Confebús, organized this Monday in Congress a conference on the Sustainable Mobility Law that has just arrived in the Chamber to retry the process that was paralyzed last year by the call for general elections.. The rule gives a clear mandate to the Government to update the concession map of bus lines, in a model that does not seem to be in danger for the sake of complete liberalization, according to what representatives of the Ministry of Transport and different parties have pointed out. political groups, as well as regional representatives and Confebús. “If traffic with acceptable profitability ratios is excluded, the system will collapse, because it is designed as a network,” in which companies that have a concession for profitable routes thus make up for the losses of the loss-making ones, warned Jaime Rodríguez, director of an organization of a sector that brings together 2,700 companies and 44,000 vehicles.

“The model that we have implemented makes it easier for the Administration to control the transport situation in the territory at all times and guarantee that the service provided is appropriate for each environment,” said the General Director of Road Transport of the Ministry, Roser Obrer. , on a system that currently offers public transport in all Spanish municipalities with at least 50 inhabitants through a concession system, in which companies compete in tenders to exclusively run routes managed by the State in the case of long distance routes. or communities, in the case of shorter routes.

The problem that all parties recognize is that this map is “obsolete”, with routes that were operated many years ago that currently have almost no passengers, such as the one that connects Ferrol-Algeciras or Madrid-Segovia.. Melgar de Fernamental, for some that have been mentioned this Monday, and that respond more to emigration routes of the last century than to current needs.

In this scenario, former Minister Sánchez tried in 2022 to modernize the concessions map with a first draft that raised a lot of regional commotion, because it proposed that the State preserve only those profitable bus routes and that the communities assume those that were not profitable but that to provide service in their respective territories, in exchange for economic compensation that never materialized, because at the time of elections in Andalusia the Government stopped a process that was also surrounded by fears that stops would also be eliminated in some municipalities. , which the PSOE denies because it defends that it was only a first attempt to reorder the map on the State side without yet defining how the lines would look with routes within provinces or communities.

Ministry-community coordination

Now, the Ministry of Transport is doing the technical work again and, although the basis will be what Minister Sánchez already did, it does not have to maintain all its points, including the most controversial ones.. To avoid rejections ahead of time, in the PSOE they believe that it is best to have a meeting with all the communities to explain well any step that is going to be taken.. “We have the firm will to develop new concession maps in collaboration with the communities. Ours [state] has to provide service to long-distance mobility,” stated the Secretary General of Land Transport, Marta Serrano, who has opted for the result to be that citizens do not have to distinguish whether a line is managed by the Ministry. or the autonomous community. “They cannot perceive that they are different administrations, because they also don't care, they want coordination and for the public service to satisfy their needs.”

Before this moment arrives, this Monday Castilla-La Mancha and Castilla y León have made it clear in Congress that they do not agree with so sharply separating state and regional management bus lines and even less with the responsibility falling on the communities. most deficient, particularly in two communities with serious depopulation problems in which the existence of the bus is an element of population fixation. Both regional governments provide them anyway to the inhabitants of even the smallest towns, in many cases with on-demand services or integrating them, for example, with school routes.

In addition, they have demanded that the Sustainable Mobility Law also contemplates financing for interurban transport by bus and not only urban transport.. What is not contemplated in this area, Castilla-La Mancha would require it via regional financing, its General Director of Transport, Rubén Sobrino, has warned. According to him, in such depopulated areas the intercity bus is the “fourth pillar” of the welfare state, which allows citizens to go to the doctor, to study or to exercise their “right to work.”. “It is not worth it that we have a very profitable system in one part and a very deficient system in another,” said Sobrino, who believes that the Government and communities still have “a lot to work on” to avoid “situations such as that in the new concessions map the lines state have stops only in places with a lot of demand and others that stop in all the towns, that are deficient and that we have to assume the responsibility of the communities.

“If it were from an economic perspective, we would practically stop providing all the bus lines in our community,” stated the general director of Transport of Castilla y León, Laura Paredes, who indicated that in 2023 the Board will invest 32 million to finance intercity bus transport, 38 million in 2022 and 40 in 2023. “If we continue to invest in transportation, it is necessary to provide it with sufficient financing.”

What Castilla y León expects from the Sustainable Mobility Law is that “it takes into account rural mobility and that all territories and population have the right to it, that there is a coordinated demand from the state and regional lines so that they do not stop provide services” and “financing for all types of transportation”, not only for urban transportation, but also for rural and interurban transportation.

For its part, this Monday's day has made it clear that the need to be able to finance bus lines that hardly take people but that is necessary for towns and municipalities is not only in communities 'officially' affected by depopulation.. Also in the Valencian Community, one of the most populated in Spain, but with areas where the buses are not full and if only a profitability criterion were applied, they would have to stop operating.. “We have extraordinary conditions on paper,” said its General Director of Transport, Manuel Ríos, in a Community that concentrates 90% of the population in half of the territory.. The other half “is empty” and must use on-demand transportation, which with the current concessions map requires an investment of 50 million by the Generalitat.

Life sentence for the woman who killed a Spaniard in Oxford for a sexual fantasy

The 26-year-old Scarlet Blake has been sentenced this Monday to life imprisonment by a court in Oxford, southeast of England, for the murder in 2021 in that English city of the Spanish Jorge Martín Carreño. The aggressor hit him and threw him into the river in a sexually motivated crime. Blake will have to serve at least 24 years before being considered for a reduced sentence, Judge Martin Chamberlain said in announcing his ruling.. In addition to the murder, the magistrate has admitted a crime of damage for having killed a cat months before in an action that he broadcast live on the internet.

In detailing his ruling, the judge pointed out that the murder of the 30-year-old young man from the Canary Islands, found dead on July 26, was “the culmination of a plan that he weighed and formulated for months,” and that he pursued personal delight and his ex-girlfriend Ashlynn Bell. “She decided to kill someone because she thought she would find it sexually exciting, which she did,” he said.

“I'm sure he enjoyed killing Jorge, just as he enjoyed killing the cat,” Chamberlain added.. “There was, therefore, a clear sexual motivation for the murder. “You also believed that you would derive pleasure, sexual or not, from the experience of killing a person,” the judge continued.. Also, he has maintained that “the decision to kill Jorge was not a reaction to something he said or did, it was not a momentary mistake, it was not a decision made out of anger or because his emotions got the better of him,” but rather something studied.

Furthermore, the judge has noted that it is not possible to establish exactly how Blake killed him, “whether he hit him in the back of the head with a bottle of vodka or something else he had in his backpack.”. After that, “she strangled him by applying pressure to the blood vessels just below the jaw with her hands or a ligature, and then threw him into the river where he drowned,” he added, later alleging that during the trial the murderer had tried to implicate him in the killing of Bell.

The facts

Carreño, an electrical engineer who worked at a BMW factory in the area, was brutally attacked by Blake when he returned from going out with friends. The murderer found him in Oxford's Radcliffe Square, from where they walked together to Parsons Pleasure, a nude swimming spot reserved for men and where his body was found.

According to the prosecution, Blake knocked the young man unconscious after hitting him in the back of the head with a vodka bottle, strangled him and pushed him into the River Cherwell, one of the tributaries of the Thames. The Prosecutor's Office explained that the girl had “an extreme interest in death” and obtained sexual gratification from violence and the killing of cats, which she recorded on videos.

Macron warns: Europe has to prepare for a possible attack by Putin

France always wants to be the captain of the ship, and that includes leading a speech no matter how alarming it may be.. This Monday the French president, Emmanuel Macron, called to continue supporting Ukraine and also for Europe to prepare for a possible attack by Vladimir Putin's Russia in the coming years.. He said it precisely at a summit organized in Paris together with other European leaders – including the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez – precisely to reaffirm support for kyiv at a key moment in the war.

A report published by the World Bank, the European Commission and the Ukrainian Government estimated last week that the cost of rebuilding the country amounts to around €450 billion, and will take a decade to complete once the war ends; although recovery efforts are already underway with the conflict underway. More specifically, kyiv will need 15 billion euros in 2024 alone, of which only 5,500 have been guaranteed by its international partners.. The accounts, at times, do not work out, although the EU remains involved in that support.

In this complex scenario, France wants to lead the message of optimism for Ukraine. And at the moment, Volodimir Zelensky is asking his allies for more weapons and ammunition at a time when Moscow is advancing on the front.. Mostly leaders from European countries traveled to the French capital, such as the President of the Spanish Government, Pedro Sánchez, or the German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, but representatives from the United States and Canada also arrived.. Paris, in this scenario, assumes that “it is time to continue supporting Ukraine” because Russia has toughened its offensive.

“We all agree that we do not want to go to war with the Russian people,” Macron acknowledged, but assured that it is “a question of our own security,” and looking at the allies he asked them to “be prepared.”. In this sense, he said that the analysis “is clear” and that there is nothing to indicate that the Kremlin is not going to attack any of Ukraine's partners in the short or medium term.

Zelensky himself also maintained this line, speaking of the need for Western support to be maintained over time.. “Evidently, our arsenal, our ability to produce weapons, to deliver weapons to Ukraine and the continuity of support” are the key elements to “maintain stability” on the continent, he said, grateful for the summit organized by France. “Everything we do together to defend ourselves from Russian aggression will contribute to the real security of our people for decades to come,” he said.

“Every Russian loss teaches Russia, and any other adversary of Europe and the free world in general, that aggression does not and cannot give results,” concluded Zelensky, convinced that his country, after two years of war, it will not be able to win against Russia if the support of its allies, questioned at times by the United States, is not sustained; Meanwhile, the EU continues to approve sanctions against Russia and the sending of more logistical and, above all, economic support for Ukrainian troops.

Sánchez appeals for unity against the Kremlin

Pedro Sánchez, for his part, thanked Macron for the invitation and insisted that “unity is the best weapon against Putin.”. Thus, he reaffirmed Spain's commitment to continue helping Ukraine.. “Our determination is firm. We will support Ukraine as long as it is necessary to achieve peace,” he wrote on social networks upon his arrival at the Elysée.

Lose, lose?

On February 19, the 60th edition of the Munich Security Conference (MSC) ended, attended by more than 50 heads of state and government and in which statements of all kinds were produced, from climate change to that of President Gustavo Petro of Colombia, to those of the offensive neorealism of German President Scholz, the high representative of the European Union Josep Borrell, or the president of the Commission Úrsula Von der Leyen. Inevitably, the hottest topics were the wars between Ukraine and Russia and, in the Middle East, between Israel and the Hamas terrorist movement.

The conclusions of that conference under a title as hopeless as “lose, lose?” They sought to transcend the threshold of the most visible current conflicts (although there are other active ones in the world), focusing on four focal points:

1) The geopolitical and economic optimism of the post-Cold War era, that “end of history” of Francis Fukuyama, has faded. The evident progress in wealth, development and security has not been distributed equitably, leading to a questioning of the established order and growing dissatisfaction between the winners and losers of globalization.

2) In the current environment of growing geopolitical tensions and economic concerns, the main actors of the “Western” democracies, the most relevant autocracies and the so-called “global south”, are increasingly focused on “their” relative losses and gains, trying to limit the risk of their international relations, that is, limiting their capacity for commitment.

3) Countries are sovereign in the development of their policies. Their rulers consider them legitimate and appropriate to the unstable and changing geopolitical environment in which we live, but they are policies that tend towards protectionism and contain a seed of dissolution of the greatest achievements achieved for global cooperation in economic matters, such as the GATT tariff treaty. , precursor of the current and questioned World Trade Organization.

4) Lastly, the unavoidable search for balance between competition for one's own immediate benefits and cooperation to obtain long-term gains shared by the majority. This does not mean giving up on the principles of reciprocity, trust and security of democratic models, the ultimate guarantee of their survival, but rather, seeking areas of shared prosperity with other models of the exercise of power that allow progressive approaches and the creation of spaces for common and shared progress.

Transferring the above to the two scenarios mentioned at the beginning, the question is: who can lead this process? and how can you do it? If we use the response to the four key points stated as a guide, a possible solution seems more acceptable, at least in the case of the Ukrainian war.. In the case of the Middle East, there are factors of such a subjective and antagonistic nature that make it much more difficult to venture a possible answer to the question.

Firstly, and after more than two years of conflict, an attempt would be made to facilitate a ceasefire through a direct approach and an agreement between those who support Ukraine economically and militarily, Ukraine itself, and the Russian Federation, taking into account the What a human drain it represents for both – the casualty figures cited do not seem likely – and that, since December 2022, only 0.4% of Ukraine's territory has changed hands.

Secondly, a political negotiation should be initiated that would contemplate an indirect rapprochement between Ukraine and Russia facilitated by third parties and that would guarantee the security of both at the current time, without prejudice to subsequent rectifications based on the development of the situation.. Constructive realism must prevail over profit maximization.

A political negotiation should begin that contemplates an indirect rapprochement between Ukraine and Russia facilitated by third parties and that guarantees the security of both.

Thirdly, it would be about providing viability and legal and economic security to Ukraine, without direct harm to the Russian Federation being deduced from this.. The most urgent task is the reconstruction of Ukraine and facilitating the return of its refugees and displaced people.. Both have to perceive that there is more to gain than lose in the agreement.

Lastly, it would be about stabilizing in the long term a situation that, if not addressed, threatens to become a problem entrenched over time and that will prevent both the development of Ukraine and the normalization of the situation in an environment that is increasingly It will be more demanding in terms of cooperation and unity of effort for Europe.

In the case of the Middle East – the Gaza war – it is enough to mention three factors that make a solution unapproachable for the moment.. The extreme polarization of both Palestinian and Israeli society, which do not want to hear in any case about cession by negotiation, one or two states, or the closure and transfer of settlements. The shared capital of Jerusalem with the ceding of control of the Temple Mount (Al-Haram Ash Sharif for “believers”). And, lastly, the return of refugees (according to UNWRA, more than six million).

What we can and should aspire to at this moment is to stop Israel's military actions while disarming Hamas and preventing the resurgence of the conflict and the release of the kidnapped, otherwise another scenario of violence will be generated. impossible management and certain escalation depending on time.

Hungary gives the green light and Sweden will become a new member of NATO

It has been a long time coming but it has arrived: this Monday the Hungarian Parliament gave the green light for Sweden to become a new member of NATO, after many months of talks. In this way, the Nordic country will become ally number 32, just a few months after the entry of Finland in a context marked by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.. After overcoming Turkey's veto, the blockade of Hungary was the last obstacle for the Swedes.

“I welcome the Hungarian parliament's vote to ratify Sweden's membership in NATO. Now that all allies have approved it, Sweden will become ally number 32. Sweden's membership will make us all stronger and more secure,” Alliance Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg quickly reacted.

The entries of Finland and Sweden represent a change of era for NATO, spurred on in the last two years by the movements of Vladimir Putin. Both countries leave behind many decades of supposed neutrality, although they already actively collaborated with the Alliance. Finland was not a neutral country by choice, but by obligation. Finland's neutrality policy dates back to the period immediately after World War II.

Its interest in remaining neutral in conflicts between great powers was first recognized in a treaty between Finland and the USSR in 1948 (the Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance).. In the Swedish case, after 1945, he chose to remain neutral and then his position depended largely on the status of Finland and indirectly also on the USSR's policy towards Helsinki.

The ratification by the Hungarian Parliament occurred with 188 votes in favor and 6 against and was supported above all by the party of Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, which has an absolute majority.. The Magyar leader tightened the rope in recent months with Sweden and NATO as a way to indirectly pressure the European Union to somehow stop its aid to Ukraine.. But his veto never had as much weight as the one that did exist for quite some time on the part of Turkey.. In that case, Recep Tayyip Erdogan was “concerned” that Sweden was, he said, a “haven for terrorists” for hosting leaders of the Kurdish party.

“Today is a historic day. The parliaments of all NATO member states have now voted in favor of Sweden's accession to NATO. “Sweden is willing to assume its responsibility in matters of Euro-Atlantic security,” they celebrated from the office of the Swedish Prime Minister, Ulf Kristersson, who after several meetings with Orbán already took the ratification of the Hungarian Parliament for granted.

With the entry of Sweden and Finland, NATO confirms an enlargement that seemed impossible not so long ago. In 2019, the French president, Emmanuel Macron, assured that the Alliance was “brain dead” and the support of the United States during Donald Trump's mandate remained much more timid.. But the war in Ukraine has relaunched the organization, with a new Strategic Concept approved at the Madrid summit in 2022 and reinforcement also at a strategic and media level.. The next step will be, if nothing changes, the election of the new secretary general, a position for which the Dutch Prime Minister (now acting) Mark Rutte is a favorite.

The 27 ask for "more ambition" from Brussels to appease the farmers' crisis and ask not to focus only on the CAP

Five hundred proposals were on the table this Monday by the Ministers of Agriculture of the 27 while the sector was mobilizing just a few meters from their meeting.. Brussels was dominated by a dissatisfied camp, full of demands and prepared to pressure politicians.. Meanwhile, the heads of the branch talked a lot, but decided little. “We have to take quick and forceful measures,” the Spanish minister, Luis Planas, had warned before the conclave.. But neither speed nor forcefulness, at least for now, although the Belgian minister, David Clarinval, acknowledged that it was “one of the most important summits” at this level in the history of the EU.

What the meeting has served for is for the 27 to ask the European Commission for “more ambition” in its proposals, which have to arrive, say the Member States, “faster”, with the aim of appeasing the crisis of the farmers. Furthermore, the countries demand that the Community Executive not focus only on a possible reform of the CAP because, they warn, the sector's concerns “go further.”

In this scenario, the Council supports modifying the basic regulations of the Common Agricultural Policy, on the BCAM 8 environmental requirements, on fallow lands; BCAM 7 on crop rotation and BCAM 6, with the idea of reducing the bureaucratic burden, one of the main demands of the field. In fact, the Belgian presidency of the Council received a representation of farmers after the summit.

But this is only part of the whole. “All these measures have to do with the CAP, but we must realize that farmers suffer consequences from measures outside the CAP, which is why many countries have asked to also analyze other instruments, such as trade agreements” , said Clarinval, while the Commissioner for Agriculture, Janusz Wojciechowski, considered that “it is better to incentivize than impose” because only with that formula, he said, is it possible for the sector to comply with the Green Deal. However, he did not give dates on when the Commission's proposals for improvement can be made in a closed manner, although he trusts that it will be before the European elections next June.

“We must address the concerns of farmers and I think we are on the right track because we have taken measures to reduce tension,” acknowledged the Polish commissioner, who sees the sector as one that specifically “suffers more” than other workers, given its importance in the dynamics of the EU. Of course, the Belgian presidency insists that violent mobilizations “are counterproductive” for farmers.

And the meeting took place in full progress in Brussels of some 900 tractors that were stationed precisely around the Council building, even with clashes with the police. Throughout the morning, the most important marches took place, with container fires that at times the firefighters and police had to put out.. The firecrackers did not stop ringing as the tractors surrounded the key areas of the center of Brussels, where they already arrived throughout the afternoon of Sunday. This time, unlike last month's mobilizations, they were not concentrated so much in Luxembourg Square as in the surrounding area of Schuman, the area that includes the headquarters of the Council and the Commission.. The first was surrounded, the second served as a reference and meeting point for most of the tractors.. At that location there were some police charges, and the patrols deployed even used tear gas.

The main demands of the sector can be summarized in three: a reduction in bureaucracy, the breakdown of any negotiation with Mercosur for an agreement that, they say, leaves them “unequal” and a review of the CAP to make it more lax in some aspects. The CAP, specifically, is one of the main policies of the European Union. Like monetary policy, the political power of countries in matters of agriculture is transferred by the EU Member States to the European Commission, the institution in charge of building unified guidelines and policies.

It is the oldest policy in the Union, dating back to 1962. The main objectives of the CAP are to unify criteria in terms of agricultural production and distribution, focusing attention on providing affordable, safe and high-quality food to consumers, conserving natural resources and guaranteeing the standard of living of workers in the sector.. Now the new CAP covers until 2027, although later it is not planned to be reformed too much, as it would require reopening arduous negotiations.

Of the total of 390,000 million euros that are included for this item -from 2021-, Spain will receive just over 47,700 million, being therefore the third most benefited country, only behind Germany and France.. It will be channeled into the receipt of 5,000 million euros annually in direct payments and it is expected that around 700,000 Spanish ranchers and farmers will benefit.. At the same time, it gives a lot of weight to the so-called ecoschemes: the series of demands for farmers and ranchers to develop practices that are beneficial to the environment.. They will be a more important leg if possible when it comes to accessing aid. It is expected that these eco-schemes will receive around 25% of the aid that will be managed by each Member State. “A lot of data and little real progress for the good of farmers,” the sector claims in conclusion.

Bolsonaro defends himself against accusations of coup in front of thousands of his followers

Former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro gathered thousands of followers in São Paulo this Sunday to take his first mass bath since he left power at the end of 2022, and defend himself against investigations into an alleged coup attempt.

Climbing onto a truck installed in the middle of Paulista Avenue, the most emblematic of the city, Bolsonaro denied the existence of a coup plot, calling himself the victim of “persecution” and criticizing the “abuses of some.”

“What is a coup? They are tanks in the street, they are weapons, they are a conspiracy… None of that was done in Brazil,” he defended himself before a crowd dressed in green and yellow, the colors of the flag, and who applauded him and praised him. He shouted “myth” after every three sentences.

In addition, the far-right called to “pacify” the country and asked legislators to approve an amnesty for people convicted of invading the headquarters of the Presidency, Congress and the Supreme Court in Brasilia on January 8, 2023.

However, he avoided explicitly charging against one of his favorite targets, the highest court, which already withdrew his passport at the beginning of the month and prohibited him from leaving the country in the framework of police investigations that also involve several generals and allies of the former president. .

Bolsonarism expected to gather more than half a million people on Paulista Avenue after months of judicial setbacks, but the authorities had not given attendance figures until 5:30 p.m.

In a show of political muscle, the former first lady, Michelle Bolsonaro, a handful of governors and mayors, as well as around a hundred legislators accompanied the far-rightist in the arena.

Unlike the measured tone used by Bolsonaro, the influential evangelical pastor Silas Malafaia did attack the Court and spoke about an alleged “evil engineering” to try to imprison the ultra leader, who has already been disqualified until 2030 for questioning the electronic ballot boxes. used in elections.

Malafaia warned that, if the court's magistrates order Bolsonaro to be imprisoned, “it will not be for his (former president's) destruction, but for theirs.”

The followers began to gather on Paulista Avenue hours before the start of the event to find a place in the first rows in front of the truck, whose speakers blasted techno music at full volume to liven up the atmosphere.

Wrapped in Brazilian flags, the majority heeded Bolsonaro's request not to carry signs with the usual insults against the Supreme Court or President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

However, during the protest there were cries of “thief” against Lula and several protesters questioned the “impartiality” of the Supreme Court.

Vítor Allen, 39, traveled from the state of Tocantins, about two and a half hours away by plane.. He bought the tickets, which were not cheap, as soon as Bolsonaro announced the demonstration a couple of weeks ago.

“We would like there to have been a coup d'état, but unfortunately there was not,” Allen stated without hesitation, while claiming the “lack of due process” in the investigations against Bolsonaro.

More moderate, Lisiane and Heitor Lopes, agricultural businessmen aged 65 and 66, respectively, declared themselves “right-wing, but democrats” and said that “everything can be investigated” if certain parameters are met.

“If Bolsonaro is imprisoned by order of the Supreme Court, there may be riots,” they said, in reference to a scenario feared and considered probable by many of the protesters.

Meanwhile, the Workers' Party, Lula's party, accused Bolsonaro of organizing an “illegitimate” act that attacks democracy.