Adding does not add up: the CIS predicts a worse figure for Díaz with Podemos than separately

The CIS predicts that Sumar does not add up after the inclusion of Podemos. The poll prepared by José Félix Tezanos in his June wave leaves Yolanda Díaz's project as the third force with 14.3% of the votes. They are almost 4 points less than the data that the CIS granted them separately in their May survey. Then Sumar achieved 12.3% and was already the third force, while Unidas Podemos remained in fifth place with 6.1%.. The sum of both reached 18.4% of the votes, although the result cannot be calculated in seats, since the public body does not make this transfer.

It is striking that the entity directed by Tezanos has included Podemos in the Sumar count, since the field work was carried out between May 31 and June 7, just when the negotiations for the inclusion of the purple ones were taking place. in the project of the Minister of Labor. It must be remembered that it was on June 9 when the agreement was signed, still with the swords held high for the inclusion or not of Irene Montero in the lists of Sumar. That situation seems already ruled out and it will be Ione Belarra who represents the party in the Madrid candidacy at number 5, just behind Íñigo Errejón.

The spokesman for the Sumar campaign, the environmentalist MEP Ernest Urtasun, has made a positive assessment of the CIS data and has celebrated that the formation is a third force, which benefits them in the distribution of seats in the Spanish electoral system. Urtasun has assured that the arrival of Sumar “widens the space of the left” and shows that there are possibilities of revalidating a government led by the PSOE, reports Alejandro López de Miguel. The leader of Sumar has also referred to the good assessment of Díaz, who has the best grade of all political leaders with a 4.89. “He is recognized as the person who best understands the problems of the Spanish”, Urtasun has settled.

Díaz's assessment is very far from that achieved by Ione Belarra (3.17) and the same occurs with the percentage of respondents who see the Galician as the best president (13%) compared to the two Podemos ministers, who are the preferred by 0.4% of survey participants. The Minister of Labor, according to the CIS, also has better grades among the parties in the space that she leads than the head of Social Rights. Belarra achieves a range that goes from 4.57 given by the voters of Más Madrid to 6.81 given by those of En Comú Podem. In the case of Díaz, the interval goes from 6.67 of the voters of IU to 7.81 of those of En Comu Podem.

The CIS data does not contribute to extinguishing the noise that resonates among part of the Podemos militancy and that is reminiscent of what happened after the Andalusian elections of June 2022. The distrust between the affiliates of one party and the other did not help to mobilize their electorate and the bad result of 19-J unleashed a storm of reproaches that is already taking place before 23-J at the national level. The accusations of vetoing Irene Montero by the purple environment have made the atmosphere rare in the process of drawing up the lists, which are still in the process of being finalized.