If Puigdemont boasts of what he lacks, he will not be so different from Sánchez in terms of “liar” and “non-compliant”. That's what he accuses him of from his devalued Waterloo mockery. And on that scolding hangs his notice for sailors: “Pedro Sánchez will not be president of the Government with the votes of Junts”.
What if he's not bluffing, what if he's telling the truth?
Even if it does not come to fruition, the ghost of the blockade would settle in the scores of the PSOE-Sumar tandem with their fellow parliamentarians. Namely: left-wing Catalan and Basque independentists (ERC and Bildu, in a strategic alliance), right-wing Catalan and Basque independentists (Junts and PNV), and from each other.
Faced with Feijóo's unsuccessful epistolary offer to meet with Sánchez in order to agree on a possible blockade of governability (the reproaches return to the response), the latest statements by the former president of the Generalitat have more echo, due to their destabilizing charge. “We are not here to patch up the legislature,” says the factual leader of Junts, a dissonant voice in a nationalist block that sacrifices the ideological to the identity (all for the homeland) and that is as opposed to a right-wing government as it is to repetition of elections.
On this front of pragmatic anti-Spanish encouragement (asking for the Moon by force is not realistic), the entangling condition of the fugitive and the cries of Míriam Nogueras against the “repressive State” are not enough to cause the misalignment of its seven deputies. Junts will always put the territorial (a way to solve the Catalan conflict) ahead of the ideological (centre-right party). The opposite is absolutely ruled out, as incongruous.. So all the paths that are offered to the Puigdemont-Turull-Nogueras, in the place of third parties to tune bagpipes without denying themselves, lead to abstention when the time comes to vote at the investiture.
Because?
Because no less incongruous than putting aside the identity objectives would be to say yes to any of the two candidates for Moncloa (Sánchez and Feijóo), except for compromises of debatable constitutionality, not to say clearly unconstitutional, in view of the demands for amnesty and self-determination. Which has been conclusively rejected by the acting President of the Government and preferred candidate of the pro-independence groups represented in Congress.
But it is a very widespread opinion that the hospitality of the constitutional frameworks offers many ways to scare away the specter of the repetition of elections.. That is where, for different reasons and with different arguments —basically, the common aversion to a government with the extreme right inside—, the forces of Moncloa and the Generalitat have conspired to get the seven Junts deputies, or at least two of them, support Sánchez.
If this is not achieved, all eyes will be on the only deputy from the Canary Islands Coalition, Cristina Valido, who will be responsible for tipping the balance in a scenario of a tie for 171 deputies, with the abstention of those from Junts and the unknown of the deputy of CC. If Puigdemont does not bluff when he says that Sánchez will not repeat in Moncloa with the votes of Junts, that is what could happen.
In any of the cases, the Government enlightened by Parliament, after the consequent white smoke in the investiture session (I do not think we will reach the repetition of elections), will emerge insecure and wobbly from minute one, at the mercy of forces paid to the constitutional disloyalty that defines them.