The Canary Islands have been an hour ahead this time, and not, like the rest of the year, behind the clocks. The change of cycle that the polls predict for the end of July (in the event that Pedro Sánchez fails to revive for the fourth time) is already a reality on the islands. It took the Canary Coalition twenty-six years to lose power, only four to recover it. A statistical extravagance, a temporary anomaly to which different factors have contributed.

In 2019, the combinations turned their back on CC. The good fortune that had always accompanied them suddenly went out, giving rise to government majorities that condemned CC to the opposition, to death row in practically all the institutions. However, the electoral results of May 28 have shown that the flower of the nationalists, far from going out, is in very good health.. The bets announced the consolidation of the change championed by Ángel Víctor Torres (acting president and general secretary of the Canarian PSOE), but, against too many odds, the Coalition has regained centrality thanks to its preferred partner, the PP. Long-term change of cycle or waiting for what happens on July 23? Depending on what happens in the general elections, on the magnitude of the earthquake that it may cause, the aftershocks of the earthquake will shake, or not, the agreements signed in the Canary Islands and elsewhere, at regional or local levels.. If Sánchez falls, the guerrilla war in the corridors of the PSOE could lead to surprising agreements in the Cortes and, from there, in the rest of the territories – in the air is the possibility that Sánchez falls and they will be the historic ones of the party those who finally decide the position of the PSOE in a hypothetical investiture of Alberto Núñez Feijóo—.

The Canarian Coalition has not recovered without the collaboration of third parties the centrality it lost four years ago. He has done his part, but he would not have achieved it without the help of, for example, Pedro Sánchez (of the president, yes). Without him it would not have been possible. Coalition did its thing. He has debuted twice. CC has made its debut in the opposition and, consequently, for the first time in its thirty years of life, it has faced an electoral campaign these months without the tools that government positions allow, with hardly any resources, making a gap where they could not find it, fine rain, municipality by municipality, island by island, retracing their steps towards the origins, working on municipal spaces and focused on building or rebuilding island leaderships. The next president of the Canary Islands, Fernando Clavijo, has spent these years evangelizing, announcing to his people that the journey through the desert would be brief.. got it right.

There is more. CC has not grown, but it has managed not to go back, consolidating a ground that is explained by its strength (and resistance) in councils and town halls, islands and municipalities. These four years away from power have to some extent vitaminized Coalition. In the eyes of those who have associated them all their lives with the established power —the regime, according to the terminology used by its adversaries— Coalición has ceased to be the party that was voted for in secret, the vote that was silent at weddings or after dinners because better not say it. In recent months, many Coalition voters have abandoned their hidden status. never happened before. That change of habit or attitude announced that CC would not obtain bad results because its electorate was still there. This cocktail has been the first of the factors that has promoted the change of change that the PSOE led in 2019. That task has gone hand in hand, it has been on the roof of the Coalition. They return to the Government, remain strong in the town halls and recover three of the seven councils, thus gaining control of four out of seven, guaranteeing themselves four essential platforms to carry out politics in the archipelago, having the upper hand in many corporations.

Ángel Víctor Torres won but lost. Fernando Clavijo (CC) and Manuel Domínguez (PP) lost but won. Also Domínguez, president of the popular on the islands, has been an essential piece for the change of cycle. Boosted by the pull of the brand (by the good wave), the imminent vice president of the Government of the Canary Islands does not match the conformist character that contaminated the PP after the departure of former minister José Manuel Soria. Domínguez is not one of those who goes out to tie. His ambition has infected his family, a winning spirit that has given many joys to the institutions, where they have grown up with luck on their side, covered by additions and subtractions that have made it easier to shape government majorities.. In the vast majority of cases with Coalición, in others, no; hairs to the sea. Domínguez is aware that the 24th of July could feel more reinforced, supported by the presence in the ministries of his fellow ranks. Who knows to what extent that can shake things up in the Canaries. No hurry. Now the important thing is to lay the foundations of a pact born to last.

The third factor has been luck. The arithmetic has played to the foot of CC and PP, but nothing would have been possible without the help of Pedro Sánchez, the eighth passenger, involuntary prescriber of the change of cycle on the islands. Without the president, the CC-PP pact would not have been possible. Contributed in two phases, with two steps. By converting the regional and municipal elections into primaries, also in the Canary Islands he fed a vote of punishment that hit, in a more than notable way, the socialist candidates for Parliament, councils and city councils. Far from leaving them to their own devices and strategy, Sánchez wanted to lead the campaign, and subtracted. Not satisfied with sneaking into a party that was not for him, the Prime Minister and candidate for re-election finished off his people with the electoral advance, denying the socialist candidates any possibility of reaching agreements with the PP, a scenario that dynamited the immediacy of the ongoing campaign. Two cups. Two blows on the waterline of the Canarian PSOE. Two favors to CC and PP. Two clumsiness that have made the change of cycle possible on the islands. An hour before, and duly aired in the rest of the country by Genoa, so that it is known that the PP does not only agree with Abascal.