From 'blue tsunami' to tight victory: the PP collides with its expectations in a night of heart attack

A heart attack scrutiny and a completely unexpected result. Not even the most pessimistic tracking predicted such a low result for Feijóo or such a high one for Sánchez. The party began the campaign of the generals mounted on the crest of the 'blue tsunami' that had devastated the left in the regional and municipal elections of 28-M. And everything indicates that the night will end with a victory, but a bitter one.. And much tighter than the one that the PP registered only two months ago. The PP wins the elections with 136 seats. But Sánchez resists and turns around all the polls: 122 deputies, above the result of the last general elections.

At this time, the bloc on the right has 169 deputies, to seven of the absolute majority. Vox collapses and leaves 19 seats on the way, but would save the night with 33 deputies in the Lower House. The left, for its part, is close to an absolute majority even without Junts, but adding to the bloc the votes of PSOE, Sumar, ERC, Bildu, PNV and small parties such as BNG. With this scenario, the support of Carles Puigdemont's men would be key for Sánchez to be able to repeat a fruitful investiture.

This 23-J, Spain has faced the most even elections in history. The first minutes of the scrutiny already forced containment in Genoa. Sánchez was in the lead. In the party they called for calm. There was still a lot of game left. But as the night progressed, the atmosphere was still mournful. Nothing to do with the situation that took place on the night of 28-M, when the euphoria overflowed the walls of the PP headquarters after devastating the PSOE in practically all its fiefdoms. As the count progressed, the PP insisted that there would be a sum to the right. But, in the last minutes, they lowered their expectations and insisted that the objective was only to “win” the elections.

Genoa had prepared a real party at its headquarters, with the animation of DJ Pulpo to celebrate a victory, at least, “resounding”. It is important to remember that Feijóo expected to end the night with a minimum of 150 seats, in addition to adding more than the left. It was the trick to which he trusted to try a government alone, thanks to the abstention of the PSOE or various minority groups. But the popular leader has collided squarely with his own expectations.

At the beginning of the campaign, Genoa managed tracking that approached or exceeded 160 deputies. The PSOE has moved downward, while Sumar has experienced peaks and dips throughout the campaign, although he does not manage to reach the mark of Pablo Iglesias of the generals of 2019.