Global warming and temperature record, the Aemet notice for the arrival of El Niño
Experts have been warning for weeks of a meteorological phenomenon that is about to reach Spain. This is El Niño, which can raise temperatures across the planet in ways never seen before. As explained by the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet), the Earth could increase its temperature to the critical threshold (1.5 degrees above the pre-industrial level) this summer. The equatorial region of the largest ocean on Earth is already in a transition period.
And it is that, during the last three years, the equatorial waters of the Pacific Ocean have registered temperature values lower than normal, an oceanic pattern known as La Niña, but this 2023 the situation will change. While La Niña deflates between February and May, El Niño will emerge starting in the summer months, according to the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)..
The World Meteorological Organization, @WMO (WMO in Spanish), has published a recent press release on the probability that the El Niño phenomenon will be established (https://t.co/tKKiZnrTnq), which we summarize and comment on in this thread🧵
– AEMET (@AEMET_Esp) May 3, 2023
The Aemet once again insists on the imminent arrival of this phenomenon through a press release published by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). According to the document, the probability of establishing an El Niño episode between May and July is close to 60%, and this percentage increases to 70-80% for the period from July to September..
What will happen in Spain
“We have just experienced the eight warmest years on record, despite the fact that, during the last three years, the La Niña episode has exerted a cooling effect that has temporarily slowed the increase in global temperature,” detail. “Most likely, the onset of an El Niño episode will trigger a new uptick in global warming and increase the chances of breaking temperature records,” says WMO Secretary-General Professor Petteri Taalas..
All in all, scientists call this cyclical El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) pattern. Thus, they point out that “the effect on global temperatures usually manifests itself the year after the establishment of this phenomenon, so its consequences will probably be more noticeable in 2024”.
Everything points to even more severe periods of heat, drought or precipitation in different parts of the world. The Aemet maintains that it does not know what effect it will have in Spain. “It is complicated to know the effects, both in temperature, although globally it is expected that this phenomenon will result in higher temperatures, and in precipitation, as there are many other factors, apart from the variability of the system itself, which may influence,” they clarify.