Podemos revives with the expectation of being decisive in up to five autonomies and in key municipalities
We can live these days in an emotional slide, with our souls in our fist until the night of May 28. According to the polls, the party led by Ione Belarra is very few votes away or from suffering a great failure by being left out of parliaments and city councils for not reaching the minimum 5% or from being able to be decisive when it comes to forming a government in some of those places.
In bullfighting terms, Podemos is at that point of “either return to the ring or nursing”. That is, disappear or decide and even govern in coalition.
Sources from this party explain that this situation will have a notable impact on their future, not only because of the territorial power they may have, but also because of the way in which they will be able to approach the talks with Sumar from May 29.
[Yolanda Díaz and the PSOE expect a flight of Podemos cadres after 28-M]
It is evident that if they lose their footing and are left out of parliament they will have a situation of weakness before Sumar, in such a way that by then their greatest institutional weight, almost the only one, will be that of the Council of Ministers of the coalition government.
There could even be the situation that some of the parties that will form Sumar and the PSOE itself foresaw, according to which 28-M could lead to a rout of Podemos leaders and cadres in different communities towards the platform that Yolanda Díaz will lead.
The other side of the expectation is what the main leaders of Podemos are handling these days, that of being decisive in autonomous communities, with options to demand a presence in regional coalition governments.
According to these sources, the different surveys indicate that Podemos could become decisive in Extremadura, the Valencian Community, Aragon, Castilla-La Mancha and the Canary Islands, among others.
In all these territories, Podemos is on the verge of 5% of the votes that allows it to survive in those communities, and with very few votes it can have in its hands that the left governs with the PSOE at the helm. Therefore, it could achieve a territorial weight that it had not had since before 2019, even if it is with much fewer votes.. In Aragon it already governs in coalition with the socialist Javier Lambán and with CHA and PAR.
In some of these communities, he does not compete alone, but with the United Left in United We Can.
In this future negotiation with Sumar, it is also important for Podemos to compare its results with those of parties that have already expressed their willingness to join the project of the second vice president.. For example, Más Madrid, Compromís or Drago.
In Madrid, Unidas Podemos is, always according to the surveys, on the limit of not reaching 5% and disappearing from the Madrid Assembly. It is almost impossible for him to have the capacity to decide the sign of the Government of the Community and he does live the contradiction of knowing that if Isabel Díaz Ayuso enters the Assembly, he may not have an absolute majority. And if he enters, he can favor Vox, because it would require the votes of the extreme right for the investiture of the PP candidate.