The climate of political confrontation that Spain is going through will continue, even if Pedro Sánchez obtains support for the investiture and the country avoids the electoral repetition. Next year's European elections, scheduled for June 9, and the holding of the Galician and Basque elections will make it difficult for the debate to tone down. The cycle will last at least half a year more. Euskadi and Galicia have elections in July – the pandemic caused them to vote on an atypical day on the 12th – and although since 2009 the two communities have made the appointment coincide with the polls, this tradition could be broken.

The Galician president, Alfonso Rueda, has conveyed to his people that on this occasion “they do not necessarily” have to go hand in hand with the Basques because “the circumstances are different”, according to sources from the PP of Galicia.. The thesis is that Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu is interested in completing the legislature because the polls, they maintain, “are going badly for him”, while Rueda has polls that guarantee him an absolute majority.. The law requires Rueda to call at least 54 days in advance, so if he wanted to go before the Christmas holidays he would have to announce whether he would call on Monday or Tuesday to set the elections for Sunday, December 17..

This cushion could encourage the Galician to call alone, although that would mean placing all the focus on Galicia. The reason that during this time these two historical communities have gone together was precisely the interest of both of them in minimizing the impact of the national debate.. Something that both Rueda and Urkullu intend, although this time they choose to go their own way.. Popular sources assure that, no matter what happens, “people are going to vote in a Galician way”. “That's what we perceive,” they say.. A circumstance that fuels the commitment to set your own date. It has been suggested that they could be in March, but Ferraz does not rule out that he can call now and vote before Christmas. Faced with this hypothesis, the Xunta claims that they have presented the budgets, which Parliament must now approve before the end of the year..

Urkullu's team maintains that it is too early to make calculations about the date of the elections – they have signed up for a super Sunday with the European elections – and that for now “the only conversations we have had with Galicia are those regarding our joint presence in the Atlantic Arc Commission”.

But socialist sources suggest that Lendakari's idea would be to go directly to June, if in the end there is no investiture and a second general election is held on January 14.. But if there is a Government, they believe that “it intends to dissolve in January”, that the Chamber will not reopen and that the elections “will be in March”. “They do not want to be contaminated by an electoral climate that Spanishizes the Basques”. Unlike the opinion of the Galician PP, which sees that Urkullu is interested in holding on, in the PSOE they defend that the PNV has open fronts in “health, education and the interior” and, at a time when EH Bildu disputes hegemony nationalist, “if they close Parliament (when going to elections) they do not give room for the opposition to wear them down.

Rueda, vice president of the Xunta with Alberto Núñez Feijóo, took over for 10 years when he had to take charge of the PP after the defenestration of Pablo Casado. At first there were doubts about whether or not it could be consolidated. Feijóo's shadow was permanent. The popular president had a hard time adapting to Madrid and continually traveled to Galicia. But as the months have passed, each one has put himself in his place and the internal feeling is that he is within reach of repeating Feijóo's absolute majorities, although the PSOE says it has a lot of confidence in José Ramón Gómez Besteiro, a deputy in Congress and who From March to June of this year he was a Government delegate. This Saturday he will be proclaimed a candidate for the Xunta, after avoiding primaries with the resignation of Gonzalo Caballero. The rush is justified because the socialist leadership suspects that Rueda may dissolve Parliament at the end of this month and convene for December.

Sánchez's deployment in Galicia

The PSOE anticipates that it will make a “powerful bet”, with an “important deployment of ministers and the President of the Government” because, they maintain, Rueda “is not consolidated as Feijóo was”. Today, the economic vice-president, Nadia Calviño, from A Coruña, will be with the socialist candidate for the Xunta in an “institutional” day entitled “Galicia. Horizon 2030. “Preparing or changing.”

“The addition of the PSdG and the BNG is feasible,” they point out in Ferraz, despite the fact that in 2020, the Bloc took away their position as the first opposition party and that they are strong under the leadership of Ana Pontón. From Ferraz they assure that their surveys reflect a “drive for change.” The PP, they insist, “is facing a disaster” because it stripped Galicia to send Feijóo to the presidency of the Government and “could be left without Galicia and without the Government of Spain.” “The worst political move in memory on the Spanish board.” While waiting for Alfonso Rueda's decision, PP and PSOE are already preparing for another direct battle between Sánchez and Feijóo.