The dictatorship of the “collabs”
If in the world of music vinyl records, the publication of a work each year and concept albums have given way to streaming platforms, singles each month and duets with other artists, in politics the classic bipartisanship has lost its leading role due to the irruption of new formations that multiply the options when choosing a ballot. Although with the dissolution of Ciudadanos and the self-destructive process of Podemos the dispersion of the votes has been reduced, absolute majorities such as that of Juanma Moreno in Andalusia are the exception and the polls for the municipal elections on May 28 predict that equality will be the norm..
Although before the polls open all the candidates stage their firm will to govern alone, no matter how stubborn the numbers are, reality indicates that the day after will be the day of the dictatorship of the “collaborations”, the day of the need to have allies. As they said in the eighties television program The Crystal Ball: “You can't alone, with friends, yes”.
In Málaga, Córdoba and Almería the victory of the PP seems clearer, but in the rest of the capitals the duel seems very close and in some cases, such as Seville, the current situation is practically a technical draw. Given this panorama, the post-electoral pacts and the alliances that can be woven on one side and the other will be crucial.
The ability of the PP to reissue the great success of Juanma Moreno last July, or of the PSOE to prevent all the capitals from being dyed blue, will have to see who gets the results thanks to the footholds they can find. The popular, in Vox, and the socialists, with the left to their left.
In this sense, the current mayor of Seville, Antonio Muñoz, trusts his options to the fact that the space on his left is practically united in the elections, unlike in other cities.. The agreement signed by Podemos, IU, Más País, Iniciativa del Pueblo Andaluz, Alianza Verde and Equo to form a candidacy under the name of Con Andalucía helps ensure that this vote does not become too fragmented, beyond the list of Adelante Andalucía, which He does go alone, although with few options. For this reason, the socialist has a more than predictable partner to try to get the PSOE to retain the main capital of Spain where it still governs.
And if the socialists appeal to balance the numbers to reissue the pact that currently governs from La Moncloa as a way to cushion the blow, the popular ones trust in receiving all the support that Ciudadanos loses and in being able to get along with Vox without having to do too much concessions that compromise their future. In the PP they are aware that they are going to need the only crutch with which they can help themselves to govern, although they are suspicious because the nature of the agreements that come out of 28-M will condition the scenario of a foreseeable alliance in the imminent general elections.
In any case, if in this current liquid policy a week is a long time, half a year already seems like an eternity, so the general slogan is to try to have mayors in every municipality where possible and, later, God will say. There are free hands to deal with Vox, because there is a fear that great expectations will leave a trace of disappointment if there are capitals in which the coin is tails, given that the existing equality will cause that in many cases everything is decided by a few votes.
The general panorama is so tight that in more than one and two capitals it will be necessary to go to the photo-finish and some complicated subsequent pacts to invest the mayors and mayors. Such is the tension that some candidate could recreate that cartoon by Manuel Summers, which he editorialized with very few words showing a politician addressing a crowd from a lectern and solemnly proclaiming “This is no longer the time for false triumphalism, let's be realistic.”. Help!!!”.
Tonight the electoral campaign officially begins, although the daily reality and the feeling of a certain weariness indicate that it already began a long time ago, and therefore that stage begins in which some rallies become the Earthquake tombola that runs through the Andalusian fairs. The one in which they cajole you with the promise of a quad and a plasma TV and in the end you go home with a useless stuffed animal that you also have to carry all night. Returning to the genius Summers, we enter that same time he portrayed in another cartoon in which a candidate began his speech by saying “Ladies and gentlemen…” and a voice from the audience replied “Bullshit.”