The majority of the citizens of the Autonomous Communities where on May 28 the polls left the governments at the risk of pacts advocate that the list with the most votes should exercise power. This is the first conclusion that emerges from the Sigma Dos survey for EL MUNDO carried out in the autonomies in which there is no absolute majority. The second is that in the territories in which the right has managed to prevail, more than half of its citizens -54.6%- think that the change of government will be positive.
61.8% of those surveyed in the communities that depend on the pacts opted for allowing the party that has collected the greatest number of ballots to govern than in the case of Extremadura, Asturias and the Canary Islands is the PSOE, while in Cantabria, Aragon, the Valencian Community and the Region of Murcia is the PP. In all these territories, except in Asturias, the popular ones, who clearly increase their harvest in votes and seats, have it in their power to occupy power by agreeing with Vox.
The bet of the voters in favor of the list with the most votes modulates when each one of the communities is lowered, but when the question is asked at a general level, without distinguishing between the particularities of each one of them, it is clear. Only 26.6% are against this principle.
In support of whoever has obtained the most ballots at the polls to occupy the government, the majority manifests itself without distinction of ideology. With one caveat: those who bet in the 2019 general elections on the formations located to the left of the PSOE. This group of voters is the only one in which a majority -48.8% compared to 38.8%- rejects the most voted list formula.
In the case of socialist voters, those who are in favor of the most supported party, even though it has not achieved an absolute majority, exceed those who are against it by 25 points.. Among popular voters, the percentage of those who advocate letting the most voted candidacy govern soars: 74% compared to 13.6%. Not surprisingly, this principle has been defended by its leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo.
It is evident that, after the result of the regional elections, if this formula were applied, the PP would come to power in five regions without the need for any agreement with the extreme right. The most burdensome counterpart for the popular ones would be to cede the Extremadura Executive to the PSOE, where Guillermo Fernández Vara has barely surpassed the popular candidate, María Guardiola, by four hundredths or, if preferred, by 6,276 votes.. In this autonomy, PSOE and PP have tied in seats, with no less a nuance: the socialists have lost six compared to those achieved in 2019, while the popular ones have risen eight.
In Cantabria, Aragon, the Valencian Community, the Region of Murcia and the Balearic Islands, the count of voters and seats in favor of the PP does not offer discussion, even if only with its results it does not reach an absolute majority.
The commitment to the premise of the most voted list acquires more nuances when citizens speak out thinking about the situation of their autonomy. However, there is still a majority -32.5%- that considers that the PSOE should facilitate the Government to the PP, compared to 24.9% who would prefer that PP and Vox reach an agreement to govern in coalition and 21.4 % that advocates that Vox support the PP but without claiming to enter the Government.
38.3% of socialist voters and 42% of voters to their left are betting that the PSOE will allow the PP to govern without forcing it to agree with Vox. On the contrary, popular voters prefer Vox to support the PP but without demanding to be part of the Executive. Vox voters obviously prefer their party to come to power by agreeing with the popular on a coalition to govern.
In Extremadura, the Canary Islands and Asturias, where the list with the most votes has been the socialist one, the majority believe that the PSOE should agree with nationalists, independentists or the radical left to continue in power. However, a very short distance away are those who believe that the PP should facilitate the Government to the PSOE. 19.6% favored the first option and 16.6% favored the second.
Already with an eye on the generals called for 23-J, in the middle of summer, 21% of voters say they will request the vote by mail with complete certainty or very likely, while 60.3% indicate that they will not. it will.