The PP prepares to "play poker with Vox" after Feijóo's 'plebiscite'
“Goes to photo finish everything”. In the PP they have closed the campaign with a mixture of undisguised optimism and forced containment. Internal polls point to a narrow victory for the popular in key territories and a clear victory in local elections. It happens that, even if everything goes well for the PP, the day after tomorrow another film will begin, the one about the parliamentary sums with Vox. Alberto Núñez Feijóo dreams of leaving those of Santiago Abascal out of the governance equation, there d
where they add up. One of the star candidates sums it up like this: “We are going to play poker, because the alternative for Vox is to sink into the generals for not allowing the PP to govern.”
Although Feijóo has told his candidates that they will be free to explore agreements, the truth is that these hypothetical negotiations would appeal directly to the opposition leader. The leadership of the PP wanted to turn the elections into a national plebiscite, and that, of course, has ended up putting all the spotlights on its leader. Feijóo, who also plays it to a large extent tomorrow. That is why the Galician leader has multiplied during the campaign, with almost fifty acts -between the officials and the electoral walks- and nearly 20,000 kilometers traveled. So many, that sometimes that has played a trick on him, like when in
badajoz
said to be in
Andalusia
. Yesterday, he tweeted a picture of himself inside the car with the message “last few hours in the office for these weeks.”
«The question is: does the party of
Sanchez
or Feijóo's party?», they say in
genoa
. «And we believe that the answer will be that on Sunday the street of Genoa will be closed and not
Ferraz
», they answer. This has a two-way reading: if this strategy goes well, it will reinforce Feijóo, but if the PP does not meet the expectations it set for itself, it will suffer a severe blow in the face of the final battle, that of the general elections. end of year
And what are those expectations? Win municipal votes and snatch at least one of the great squares of regional power in the
PSOE
. In this order of importance and possibilities:
Valencian Community, Aragon, Castilla-La Mancha or the Balearic Islands
. In Genoa they clarify that “on a mental level it is not the same not to get a territory than to lose it”. Yeah
Carlos Mazon
fails to unseat
Ximo Puig
“at first”, it will not be “so serious”, while if Puig ceases to govern in the main socialist fiefdom it will be “checkmate Sánchez”.
In addition, the
popular
see within reach the absolute majority in
The Rioja
and do not rule out
ring the bell
in other regions like
Cantabria
and
Castilla la Mancha
or even
Estremadura
, although they privately acknowledge that it is a difficult hypothesis. And in Madrid and Murcia a comfortable victory is discounted, with the doubt of whether they will reach an absolute majority
Fernando Lopez Miras
and
Isabel Diaz Ayuso
, after sublimating Feijóo's strategy of taking the campaign to the national pitch.
That nationalization of the campaign
culminated last night
in the closing ceremony, in Madrid. Before the 2,700 people who filled the Ifema Conference Center, Feijóo wanted to reel off for the last time what “repealing sanchismo” consists of.. «Between the lies or the word, the word. Between rapists and victims, victims. Between
bildu
or dignity, dignity. Between the PSOE and democratic quality, democratic quality. Between Sanchismo or Spain, Spain,” he summed up. “The alternative is chaos,” he harangued his own.
Rise at the expense of the PSOE
As for the municipal ones, it must be remembered that the PP was left in 2019 with 1.6 million votes from the PSOE. A little less than what you got
cs
. Now the challenge of
popular
is to absorb that electorate and try to drill into socialist territory. In Genoa they are convinced that there is a part of the moderate voters of the PSOE that will change Feijóo. Of course: not so much now as in the general. “In the municipal ones the PSOE is stronger,” says a leader who receives the
tracking
, which confirm “a rise in the PP at the expense of the PSOE” in recent weeks. But those same surveys detect that Vox “is still strong”, or “with a high ground”.
«The campaign has served above all to mobilize the undecided, and there were more undecided on the left, because the vote fidelity of the right was greater. So this was going to see how many of those people who voted for the PSOE four years ago Sánchez convinced them to vote for him again ». «To the PSOE
he has done badly in the campaign
. The first week was that of Bildu and the second was that of
Melilla
, that of the kidnapping of a councilwoman, that of the councilor of
Tenerife
Arrested for assaulting a person who criticized him.. and that of everything that has happened around the PSOE. When everything goes to be in power, these things happen and votes are bought in various places, “they add.
PP
IN 2019…
It lost almost a million votes, up to 5,154,728, 22.62% and 20,364 councilors (22,750 in 2015).
3 GOVERNMENTS
. In 2019, the alliance with Cs allowed him to keep the Executive in Madrid (Ayuso alone after the advance of 2021), Murcia and Castilla y León. At the end of 2018 it turned around in Andalusia (absolute majority already in 2022) and in 2020 it revalidated Galicia.
ASPIRE TO…
Unseat PSOE barons like Puig, Lambán and Gª-Page. He seeks an absolute majority in Madrid -city and region- and to be able to govern in capitals such as Valencia and Seville.