Ukraine opts for autarky while waiting for European military aid

Ukraine is at a crossroads, faced with the choice of relying solely on European Union military aid or adopting a new strategy centered around drone warfare. President Volodymyr Zelensky and Army Chief Valeri Zaluzhni agree on the importance of drones and the local production of weapons and ammunition to minimize casualties and costs.

Mobilization, including the enlistment of individuals who left the country illegally, is an unpopular measure. Recognizing the limited defense capabilities, Zelensky announced the arrival of air defense systems but emphasized the need for more comprehensive support from the European Union.

Meanwhile, discussions with the General Staff highlighted plans to increase drone manufacturing, with additional contracts and funding expected after a significant investment in 2023. Self-made drones have already proven effective, wreaking havoc in Russia by targeting oil refineries and sinking a Russian coast guard ship.

In a recent article, Zaluzhni highlighted the necessity of adopting a new approach to warfare, centered around drones, due to the enemy’s numerical advantage, reduced Western aid, and ineffective sanctions. The objective is to create a relatively inexpensive, modern, and highly effective arsenal to inflict maximum damage on the enemy while minimizing casualties. To achieve this, Ukraine has established a new Strategic Industries portfolio and signed cooperation agreements with Western defense companies.

While mass production of drones is already underway, Ukraine aims to achieve self-sufficiency in the production of missiles, tanks, and other military equipment. However, acquiring Western licenses for this remains a challenge, particularly from the United States.

In the meantime, Ukraine is seeking to modernize Cold War weaponry such as short-range Sidewinder missiles, which have been effective against Iranian drones. The overall goal is to secure the freedom of Ukrainians and Ukraine through the production and deployment of advanced military capabilities.